Mikhail Alexandrov. It is ridiculous to talk about Russia as one of the centers of the multipolar world and at the same time dance to the tune of Azerbaijan.
The latest meeting of the Foreign Ministers of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia attracted the attention of experts from different countries and, of course, the countries represented by the meeting participants.
Attention is drawn to the assessment of the results of the meeting, expressed by the Russian expert on military-political issues, Mikhail Alexandrov.
The past talks, M. Alexandrov believes, once again demonstrated that it will not be possible to stop the Azerbaijani aggression against the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR) with endless persuasion, that the use of force is necessary. Without this, the blockade of the Lachin corridor by Azerbaijan will continue, the humanitarian crisis in the NKR will further aggravate, developing into a humanitarian catastrophe. However, the use of force against the Baku regime is now difficult, since a dirty geopolitical game has unfolded in the Transcaucasus.
In his opinion, the essence of the West's game is to quarrel Russia with Armenia, lead to a surge of anti-Russian sentiments there, turn the Armenian society against Russia and, as a result, lead to a break in the defense alliance between Moscow and Yerevan. Namely, this will happen if the Russian Federation allows ethnic cleansing of the Armenians of Karabakh. Russia will be expelled from Transcaucasia, and the West, on the contrary, will increase its presence there.
If Russia refuses to surrender Nagorno-Karabakh and maintains its presence there and in Armenia, then there will be a sharp break in relations between Moscow and Baku, as well as a serious deterioration in Russia's relations with Turkey. In this case, the West can count on the creation of a foothold in Azerbaijan directed against Russia and Iran.
M. Alexandrov notes that under these conditions, Russian diplomacy is trying to sit on two chairs that are steadily moving apart, bringing the moment of the inevitable choice closer. The question here is how long the population of the NKR will be able to hold out before the start of a real famine, and then a mass exodus of Karabakh people to Armenia. What the Russian Foreign Ministry is counting on is not very clear, because such a policy has repeatedly shown its own inconsistency and ended in failure.
He warns that if Russian diplomacy counts on public indignation in the West over the growing humanitarian catastrophe in the NKR and the West, under public pressure, imposes sanctions against Azerbaijan, then this is doomed to failure from the very beginning. Nevertheless, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation continues to play with the West in a game called "Who will blink first", in which the stake is the life of 120 thousand Armenians of Karabakh.
The diplomats of the West and Russia, according to M. Alexandrov, were so carried away by this game that the fate of the people of Nagorno-Karabakh faded into the background for them. The excitement of card players prevailed over a sense of international responsibility and humanism. Victory at any cost, even at the cost of ethnic cleansing of 120,000 Karabakh Armenians, is no longer a deterrent. Nobody wants to take and agree on joint actions to end the Azerbaijani blockade. This is a disgrace to world diplomacy, including Russian.
And Russian diplomacy should proceed from this, and not from the ideas promoted by the pro-Azerbaijani lobby in the Russian Foreign Ministry and other Russian state structures, the expert emphasizes. But the narrative imposed by this lobby must be decisively ended. It is ridiculous to talk about Russia as one of the centers of the multipolar world and at the same time dance to the tune of Azerbaijan.
Doctor of political sciences, leading expert of the Center for Military-Political Studies at MGIMO Mikhail Alexandrov has repeatedly written about the role of the Azerbaijani lobby in shaping Russia's foreign policy. The reaction of this lobby was not long in coming. In December 2022, Mikhail Alexandrov was fired from MGIMO for these statements, having convinced himself by his own example that his assessments of the powerful influence of this lobby on the Foreign Ministry and other structures of the Russian Federation were correct.
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