Author: Mihran Shakhzadeyan
Ph.D., Political Scientist
The article deals with the issues of the foreign policy of the Republic of Armenia in the context of the situation that arose after the aggression of Azerbaijan and the invasion of its armed forces into the sovereign territory of Armenia, a member of the CSTO military alliance, and an ally of Russia, with which Armenia has an agreement that provides for jointly taking all measures available to them to counter acts of aggression against them by any state and provide each other with the necessary assistance, including military. Disappointment in the passive position on this aggression of both the CSTO and Russia gave rise to a discourse that has arisen in political and expert circles, in which there is often a very simplified understanding of the realities and the absence of professional analysis, specific calculations of the consequences of the scenarios they propose. Recent events, the visit to Yerevan of the Speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi, indicate that the United States, together with the European Union, began to pay much more attention to the South Caucasus, there are signs that the United States wants to significantly increase its influence in the region. But what will be its strategy, what real actions are expected to solve this problem? What will be the opposition from other players, such as Russia and Iran, and to a certain extent China? How will this affect Armenia and Artsakh, what will be the possible gains and losses? In addition, Armenia's relations with Russia and with the West are associated with problems of a wider range. Those who have not forgotten from the school physics course that the phenomenon of increased amplitude is described by the concept of resonance can also recall that even outwardly not very noticeable periodic forces that are near the resonant frequency of the system can cause large oscillations in the system that can break any fragments into fragments any "crystal constructions" composed of good wishes without their thorough justification and study of all risks.
Read full article in Russian https://www.aapsc.info/post/armenia-rf-odkb-usa-europe
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